Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.3%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 28, 26, 7:39 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has imposed export controls or licensing requirements on selenium (Se metal or Se compounds).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
