Will China restrict exports of tellurium on December 31, 2026?
One-OffCommoditiesTrade PolicyChina2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 88%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 7:52 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains an active export restriction (prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement under UNCTAD MAST P3 classification) on tellurium (HS 280450) or tellurides (HS 284290).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
