Will China restrict exports of high-purity nickel powder on December 31, 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffTrade PolicyChina2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 87%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 8:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering nickel powder with at least 99% nickel and average particle size below 10 micrometres, or porous nickel made from it, under item 1C240.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
