Will China restrict exports of high-purity magnesium on December 31, 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffTrade PolicyChina2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 87%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 7:58 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement scoped exactly to high purity magnesium under item 1C228 or qualifying magnesium and magnesium alloy powder under item 1C111.b.1.c.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
