Will China restrict exports of samarium on December 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will China restrict exports of samarium on December 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87% as of October 21, 2026.

When does Will China restrict exports of samarium on December 31, 2026? resolve?

Will China restrict exports of samarium on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will China restrict exports of samarium on December 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China requires special export licenses for samarium.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

• LCK (South Korea)+3.0pt71.6%
• LPL (China)-1.0pt22.6%
• LEC (Europe / EMEA)-1.5pt3.9%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$913.6K

24h Vol

$118.4K

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

• No98%
• Yes2%

Total Vol

$44.6M

24h Vol

$95.5K

POLYMARKET

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an-0.5pt63.6%
• Puma Shen-0.5pt36.4%
• Kuo Hsi0%

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 22?

• 17°C+11.0pt56.3%
• 16°C-5.5pt34%
• 18°C-1.0pt5.8%

+8 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

• No-0.2pt97%
• Yes+0.2pt3%

Total Vol

$15.2M

24h Vol

$12.6K

KALSHI

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

• Before Jan 1, 202879.5%
• Before Jul 1, 202777%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt56.5%

• October Inflation China - Annual
• Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Worlds 2026 Winning Region
• Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
• Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
• People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
• New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
• Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by which date?