Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.8%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 22, 25, 6:12 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if any Baidu electric vehicle is available to ride in London at any point during 2026 for a member of the public (ie not closed beta) via the Uber or Lyft app
- Resolution will be confirmed via official announcements from Baidu, Uber, Lyft, or Transport for London (TfL) confirming that rides are available to the public in London.
- Baidu has announced plans to bring robotaxis to London starting in 2026 through partnerships with Lyft and Uber, with Apollo Go autonomous vehicles to be available through both platforms.
- The vehicles are Baidu's RT6 models—fully electric cars designed specifically for ride-hailing, developed from the outset to operate without a driver.
- Baidu's Apollo Go operates in 22 cities globally with more than 250,000 weekly trips.
