Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
One-OffTechRegulation3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52.4%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 12, 26, 4:17 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
An AV deployment permit is a necessary condition for commercial (paid) AV operations, such as a paid robotaxi ride-hail service.
- (Note that ride-hail additionally requires CPUC approval).
- https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/vehicle-industry-services/autonomous-vehicles/autonomous-vehicle-testing-permit-holders/
- [link preview] This question will resolve to YES if ZOOX shows up as having had a driverless deployment permit during , according to the DMV website's list above, using the "as of MONTH DAY, YEAR" date.
- Previously the DMV website has taken a few days to update, so the close time is a bit after the end of .
- This question will resolve to NO if either (1) it does not appear on the list by close time, or (2) if it does appear but the "as of" date is after Dec 31, .
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026 resolve?
- Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: An AV deployment permit is a necessary condition for commercial (paid) AV operations, such as a paid robotaxi ride-hail service.