Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
One-OffTech3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 27, 26, 5:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-services/licensing/transportation-licensing-and-analysis-branch/autonomous-vehicle-programs/autonomous-vehicle-program-permits-issued
- This question will resolve to YES if ZOOX receives a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT under the CPUC's Autonomous Vehicle program, which is the final regulatory requirement to operate driverless robotaxis.
- This question will resolve NO at close time if ZOOX has not obtained a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT according to the CPUC website/news reporting.
- At the time of market creation, Zoox has CPUC permits for Drivered and Driverless Pilot rides.
- From the CA DMV, Zoox has a driver and driverless testing permits, but does not a deployment permit (link).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 59% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description] resolve?
- Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-services/licensing/transportation-licensing-and-analysis-branch/autonomous-vehicle-programs/autonomous-vehicle-program-permits-issued