Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
TechOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.3%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJan 20, 26, 11:35 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-services/licensing/transportation-licensing-and-analysis-branch/autonomous-vehicle-programs/autonomous-vehicle-program-permits-issued
- This question will resolve to YES if TESLA receives a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT under the CPUC's Autonomous Vehicle program, which is the final regulatory requirement to operate driverless robotaxis.
- This question will resolve NO at close time if TESLA has not obtained a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT according to the CPUC website/news reporting.
- At the time of market creation, TESLA has not obtained any AV permits, though they have obtained a permit to operate a TCP service (e.g. Uber, not permitted to use any self-driving tech)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description] resolve?
- Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-services/licensing/transportation-licensing-and-analysis-branch/autonomous-vehicle-programs/autonomous-vehicle-program-permits-issued