Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 5.0 kg by Dec 2030?
RegulationOne-Off4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.1%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 3:16 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 5.0 kg by 2030-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2030-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2029-07-04 to 2030-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities