Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.0 kg by Dec 2027?
RegulationOne-Off1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 54.8%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 3:11 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 2.0 kg by 2027-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2027-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2026-07-04 to 2027-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities
