Will artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit)

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit)?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit) resolve?

Will artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit) is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.

How is Will artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will continuing progress in AI capabilities result in the existence of a general artificial intelligence which has a "room temperature" IQ score of 68-77 according to the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale?

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-0.3pt90%
• Anthropic-5.1pt3%
• Alibaba0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.5M

24h Vol

$102.5K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+5.9pt55.1%
• Gemini-3.3pt34.8%
• ChatGPT-0.8pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt30.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.8pt18.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.3pt18.6%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-1.0pt20%
• 2028-1.0pt16%
• 2027-1.0pt8%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 650T tokens99.5%

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