Will any US city experiment with AI-managed governance (e.g., zoning decisions or resource allocation) by 2035?
One-OffAIUS Politics8y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91.8%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 27, 25, 9:02 PM UTCDec 31, 34, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
As AI systems advance, cities may begin to pilot forms of AI-assisted decision-making—whether in zoning, traffic control, public resource allocation, or budgeting.
- For this market, an “experiment” refers to any formally sanctioned trial or pilot program in which an AI system is given meaningful decision-making authority in at least one domain of city governance.
- This could be under human oversight but must go beyond simple advisory tools or automation of clerical tasks.
- Examples might include:
- An AI system making initial zoning or permitting decisions
- Budget allocation recommendations being implemented with minimal human revision
