What are the current odds for Will any notable lost art be recovered by the end of 2029??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 73.3% as of October 20, 2026.

Will any notable lost art be recovered by the end of 2029?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 11:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 73.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 19 hours ago

Stale

Sep 5, 23, 5:50 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

See this list (and the section above about missing and destroyed works, anything on this page would count).

If any are added as found in any year from 2023 through 2029, this resolves YES, otherwise NO after close.
Shorter timeline -> @/Stralor/will-any-notable-lost-art-be-recove