Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.8%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 25, 10:06 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
For “Yes”, a national law or regulation must come into effect granting legal status equivalent to marriage, civil partnership, or similar to a human–AI couple.
- I will not bet in this market.
Open markets
AIKALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%-1.0pt97%
- Above 2.65%+32.0pt94%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.2K
- 24h Vol
- $95.2K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba-5.0pt69%
- Moonshot-6.0pt14%
- Z.ai+2.3pt6%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+5.0pt85.4%
- Moonshot-1.9pt9.7%
- Z.ai1.9%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+1.0pt84%
- November 30,+8.0pt81%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: For “Yes”, a national law or regulation must come into effect granting legal status equivalent to marriage, civil partnership, or similar to a human–AI couple.