Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 63.6%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 12:07 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?
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PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES iff credible reporting confirms that Anthropic has bought or leased at least 1GW of capacity from data centres physically located in Australia, by EOY 2027.
- [image](source)
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $280.7K
- 24h Vol
- $148.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Anthropic buy >1GW of capacity from Australian data centres by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Anthropic buy >1GW of capacity from Australian data centres by EOY 2027? resolve?
- Will Anthropic buy >1GW of capacity from Australian data centres by EOY 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will Anthropic buy >1GW of capacity from Australian data centres by EOY 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES iff credible reporting confirms that Anthropic has bought or leased at least 1GW of capacity from data centres physically located in Australia, by EOY 2027.