Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035??

Manifold Markets prices No at 67.5% as of October 8, 2026.

When does Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035? resolve?

Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035? is scheduled to resolve on October 12, 2035.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Plague pandemic in 2026?

• No+1.1pt97%
• Yes-1.1pt3%

Total Vol

$357.5K

24h Vol

$75.9K

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No94.1%
• Yes5.9%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$17.3K

POLYMARKET

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

• No+1.7pt94%
• Yes-1.7pt6%

Total Vol

$69.7K

24h Vol

$12.1K

POLYMARKET

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?

• 31,-5.0pt11%
• 15,-3.0pt6%

Total Vol

$69.7K

24h Vol

$6.5K

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-2.0pt18%
• Before December 1, 2026-1.0pt14%
• Before November 1, 2026-4.0pt6%

Total Vol

KALSHI

Next pandemic

• Before 2030-3.0pt18%
• Before 202916%
• Before 202813%

Total Vol

$10.8K

24h Vol

$5.5K

• New pandemic before 2028?
• Pandemic in 2026?
• Measles cases in 2026?
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
• How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
• Plague case in US by December 31?
• Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
• Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
• Plague declared public health emergency by which date?
• Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?