Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 76.2% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years? resolve?

Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2034.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.9pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.4pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$146K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt29.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.1pt19.2%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.3pt18.3%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+6.1pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.4pt30.6%
• ChatGPT-0.9pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202792.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+6.5pt84%
• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• November 30,-7.0pt57%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt55.1%
• Google-5.0pt36.7%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• OpenAI market share this week
• DeepSeek market share this week
• OpenRouter AI token usage in October
• Best AI this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Best AI in Oct 2026?