Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 75%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 24, 26, 1:51 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any of the following major market research and advisory firms publish a report by June 30, 2028, stating that global artificial intelligence (AI) revenues, global AI market size, or total global AI spending for the calendar year 2027 (or by the end of 2027) was $500 billion USD or greater:
- Statista Market Insights (via the "Artificial Intelligence - Worldwide" Outlook)
- International Data Corporation (IDC) (via the IDC Worldwide Semiannual AI Tracker or Global AI Spending Guide)
- Gartner (via official Gartner Forecasts)
- Bloomberg Intelligence