Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 7, 23, 1:23 AM UTCDec 31, 34, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
In 2020, the United Kingdom became the first EU member state to leave the European Union.
- Will any other member state leave the EU before 2035?
- Question resolves to YES if at least one sovereign member state formally withdraws from its EU membership before midnight on 31st Dec 2034.
- If not, the question resolves to NO.
- If the EU disintegrates in its entirety or otherwise ceases to exist, this question resolves to YES.
