Will a dirty bomb be used in an attack before 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a dirty bomb be used in an attack before 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will a dirty bomb be used in an attack before 2028? resolve?

Will a dirty bomb be used in an attack before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.

How is Will a dirty bomb be used in an attack before 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: An "attack" here is an incident with at least ten casualties.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Maduro Prison Time?

• No prison time-7.0pt45.4%
• 60++8.0pt29.9%
• <20+3.4pt12.4%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$38.3K

POLYMARKET

Trump out as President before 2027?

• No+0.1pt96%
• Yes-0.1pt4%

Total Vol

$13.4M

24h Vol

$36.4K

KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

• Ilhan Omar+8.0pt45.5%
• Corey Lewandowski-3.0pt16%
• John Brennan

POLYMARKET

Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?

• December 31+1.0pt14%
• October 31-0.1pt2%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$14.3K

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

• John Brennan+12.5pt34%
• Mahmoud Khalil23%
• James Comey-5.7pt10%

+21 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

• Yes-2.0pt79.2%
• No+2.0pt20.8%

Total Vol

$880.5K

24h Vol

$12.3K

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