Will a captive coelecanth live in aquarium for more than 3 years by 2032
Corporate ActionsOne-OffScience5yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMay 17, 26, 2:10 AM UTCDec 31, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if a coelacanth is kept alive in a captive aquarium environment for a duration exceeding 3 years at any point before January 1, 2032.
- It resolves to NO if no coelacanth survives in captivity for more than 3 years by this date.
- Resolution will be based on reports from reputable scientific institutions, public aquaria, or peer-reviewed literature.
- If an institution claims to have successfully kept a coelacanth for longer than 3 years, documentation including dates of acquisition and death (or confirmation of ongoing survival) will be required.
- Coelacanths, often referred to as "living fossils," are deep-sea fish belonging to the order Coelacanthiformes.
