Wide acceptance of Lab Leak hypothesis for COVID only within 3 months of Fauci passing away
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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 8:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 95%
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Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 22, 23, 7:13 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
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TL;DR - Lab Leak ideas for COVID origins will gain wide acceptance if and only if Fauci passes away, and also it will happen within 3 months of that.
- If the NYTimes, Guardian, and Economist all have not already taken clearly pro-lab-leak stances
- Fauci passes away
- within 3 months, at least 2 of them will flip and admit that it's >50% that COVID origins have to do with the Wuhan Institute of Virology, either from their collection of viruses, leak, manipulation, testing, etc. Basically, that it wasn't just "accidental zoonosis right next to WIV".
- If so, this is a YES.
