Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 70.9%+2.2pt
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.2 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
May 30, 26, 9:17 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Republicans win Wisconsin 7th Congressional District in 2026?
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KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio - Wikipedia
- [link preview]
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+5.0pt49.5%
- No change-5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.4pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party89%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11%
- Total Vol
- $32.4M
- 24h Vol
- $861.1K
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+4.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $13M
- 24h Vol
- $717K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt57.8%
- D-House, R-Senate30.4%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Scott Jennings+3.0pt19.3%
- Anna Kelly-3.0pt15.8%
- Maria Bartiromo-15.0pt5.3%
+43 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt16%
+48 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win Ohios 15th congressional district in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 71% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win Ohios 15th congressional district in 2026? resolve?
- Which Party will win Ohios 15th congressional district in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Which Party will win Ohios 15th congressional district in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio - Wikipedia