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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. Which countries will withdraw or be barred from the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Manifold Markets

Which countries will withdraw or be barred from the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SportsSoccerOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastLatin AmericaEuropeFIFA World CupTrade PolicyPolitics6d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Netherlands ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ 1%
Leader of 49 outcomes
Forecasters

136

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 25, 26, 10:55 PMJun 18, 26, 2:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Netherlands ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ1%

Rules

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • A country resolves YES if its national team officially withdraws from or is barred from competing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
  • Non-participation due to failure to qualify does not count (resolves NO).
  • The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
  • In January 2026, geopolitical tension around U.S.
  • President Donald Trumpโ€™s renewed push to acquire Greenland triggered public and political calls in parts of Europe for a possible World Cup boycott.

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Rules

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • A country resolves YES if its national team officially withdraws from or is barred from competing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
  • Non-participation due to failure to qualify does not count (resolves NO).
  • The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
  • In January 2026, geopolitical tension around U.S.
  • President Donald Trumpโ€™s renewed push to acquire Greenland triggered public and political calls in parts of Europe for a possible World Cup boycott.