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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

2.8% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle EastEurope18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 6%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$161

Liquidity

$4.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.6% / 9.9%

Spread

280.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

+3.9%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Nov 18, 25, 4:48 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes6%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
  • Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
  • Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.