Continent to Win the Men's World Cup
38.0 pts (24h)SportsOne-OffMiddle EastSoccerLatin AmericaFIFA World Cup
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Europe (98%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Europe
At 7 days out
80%
At 24 hours out
58%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Europe
- Recorded
- Jul 19, 2026, 10:32 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityEurope 94.2%+40.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$4.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 days ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 11:00 PMAug 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
North America3%
Africa2%
South America3%
Europe98%
2.9%
94.2%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Europe
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Which continent will win the World Cup?
41.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Europe (UEFA) (100%)
+41.5pt100%
-2.8pt0%
-0.9pt0%
+4 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$10.8M
24h Vol$140.4K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Limitless
Which continent will win the World Cup?
Closed
91.1%
50.1%
50%
+3 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
If any country that competes in Europe (UEFA) qualification is the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For settlement purposes, a country is considered part of a continent based on the FIFA World Cup qualification pathway it competes through, rather than strict geographic borders.
- European nations are those that compete through UEFA qualification, African nations through CAF, North American nations through CONCACAF, South American nations through CONMEBOL, and Asian/Oceanian nations through either AFC or OFC qualification.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- Refer to the below country designations.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.1k96.0%KALSHISouth America — No7d ago
KALSHISouth America — No7d ago$2.4k42.0%KALSHISouth America — Yes8d ago
KALSHISouth America — Yes8d ago$2.1k42.0%KALSHISouth America — Yes8d ago
KALSHISouth America — Yes8d ago$5.9k58.0%POLYMARKETWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes0xc117…74108d ago
POLYMARKETWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes0xc117…74108d ago$2.9k42.0%KALSHIEurope — No8d ago
KALSHIEurope — No8d ago$4.0k42.0%KALSHIEurope — No8d ago
KALSHIEurope — No8d ago$4.5k42.0%KALSHIEurope — No8d ago
KALSHIEurope — No8d ago$2.0k58.0%POLYMARKETWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesFavorite-Permafrost9d ago
POLYMARKETWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesFavorite-Permafrost9d agoVolume trend
$1.1MJul 218d of dataJul 19
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LIMITLESSActive in these topics
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If any country that competes in Europe (UEFA) qualification is the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For settlement purposes, a country is considered part of a continent based on the FIFA World Cup qualification pathway it competes through, rather than strict geographic borders.
- European nations are those that compete through UEFA qualification, African nations through CAF, North American nations through CONCACAF, South American nations through CONMEBOL, and Asian/Oceanian nations through either AFC or OFC qualification.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- Refer to the below country designations.