Which company has best AI model end of June 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
AI
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Google (94.8%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2025, 5:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
OpenAI2%
xAI3%
Anthropic0%
Google94.8%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0.1%
Other0%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Rules
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of June 30, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- See also: @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-A88UsyhdZz
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-IZEIlPL8ZZ
