Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
AI
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Google (99%)
Resolved: Dec 1, 2025, 12:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
OpenAI0%
xAI0%
Anthropic0.9%
Google99%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Moonshot AI0%
Other0%
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Rules
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of November 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
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