Which company has best AI model end of August 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
AI
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Google
Resolved: Sep 1, 2025, 12:49 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
OpenAI0%
xAI0.2%
Anthropic0%
Google99.7%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Other0%
Won
Lost
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Lost
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Lost
Rules
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of August 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
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