When will US, Russian and Ukrainian delegations next hold trilateral talks in person? (Kremlin says ~Nov 10, Abu Dhabi)
9.7 pts (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-Off28dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNovember 10–15 34.7%+9.7ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+9.7 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 9:39 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
On Oct 21, 2026, after meeting US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in St Petersburg, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov said Russia is in principle ready to resume trilateral US–Russia–Ukraine negotiations "around the 10th of November".
- Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov later said the round is planned for the first half of November in Abu Dhabi.
- This market resolves to the date bucket in which the first in-person trilateral session actually takes place.
- What counts: official delegations from the United States, Russia and Ukraine meeting in person in the same session (any level, including technical level), anywhere in the world, on or after November 1, 2026.
- Separate bilateral meetings held in the same city on the same day (US–Russia, then US–Ukraine) do NOT count unless reporting says the three delegations met together.
- Video calls do not count.