Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2027 72%Leader of 7 outcomes
2027 72%Forecasters
53
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 29, 23, 8:35 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will GPT-7 be released?
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
The model must be released by OpenAI or a successor to OpenAI.
- Staff at the company must commonly refer to the model as "GPT-7" or something else with "GPT-7" in the name.
- For a model to be considered released, OpenAI (or its successor) must officially announce the model publicly and give access commercially to at least some users.
- I'll use Eastern Time to determine the exact start and end times of each year.
