Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2029 or later 67.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 15, 26, 5:46 PM UTCMar 15, 28, 5:41 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be cryopreserved?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiRules
Currently Elon has $830 billion and Bill Gates has $104.8 billion.
- Bill has just over 12.6% of the net worth of Elon Musk.
- If Bill Gates stayed at $105 billion then Elon would need $1.75 trillion.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on Forbes' 2026 World Billionaires List and subsequent annual lists.
- As of the 2026 list, Elon Musk has $839 billion and Bill Gates has $108 billion, meaning Gates currently holds approximately 12.9% of Musk's net worth.