When will an AI system autonomously build and operate a production software platform serving 1,000+ active users?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will an AI system autonomously build and operate a production software platform serving 1,000+ active users??

Manifold Markets prices Before Dec 2032 at 48.4% as of October 29, 2026.

When does When will an AI system autonomously build and operate a production software platform serving 1,000+ active users? resolve?

When will an AI system autonomously build and operate a production software platform serving 1,000+ active users? is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027.

How is When will an AI system autonomously build and operate a production software platform serving 1,000+ active users? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Domain-Specific AGI in software engineering: a single AI system takes a novel product spec and autonomously architects, builds, deploys, and operates a production-grade platform (auth, scaling, monitoring, CI/CD, security, database — at least 3 of 6) for 1,000+ active users over 60 days, handling ops autonomously.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.5pt23%
• 202817%
• 2027-1.0pt8%

Total Vol

$2.8M

24h Vol

$181.4K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+4.9pt56%
• Claude+6.0pt35.2%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-6.8pt89%
• ↑$1.75T-4.5pt81%
• ↑$2.0T-8.0pt65%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.1pt98%
• Anthropic+0.1pt1%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+2.0pt22%
• 2028+2.0pt19%
• 2027+2.0pt10%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt30.7%
• $1.5–$1.75T+7.8pt24.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T-3.7pt17.8%

+7 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Google market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?