Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastThe shooter killed Charlie Kirk 100%Leader of 179 outcomes
Forecasters
600
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleSep 10, 25, 10:03 PM UTCDec 10, 26, 10:57 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.
- If any such accomplice exists, this answer will not resolve as true.
- Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A conviction or guilty plea in court would be sufficient evidence to resolve answers about the shooter's identity
- Direct evidence would be sufficient
- Circumstantial evidence or evidence described as "seemingly" implicating someone would not be sufficient to resolve