Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
2028 26%Leader of 12 outcomes
2028 26%Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 24, 6:19 PM UTCJul 12, 35, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
- Resolves when official financial reporting is available, showing their revenue minus expenses was positive for OpenAI, in any year.
- Resolves that year to "Yes" and all other options to "No".
- We can add more years if they are still running but haven't made a profit yet.
- If they go out of business first, then we resolve to "the named outcome".