Current community forecast
Other 43.6%Leader of 25 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 14, 26, 8:54 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- NASA officially expects Artemis III to launch no earlier than 2028.
- CNSA have said they will land on the Moon before the end of 2030.
- The market resolves to the month in which the next human successfully lands on the Moon.
- Resolution will be determined by official NASA or CNSA announcements.
- The landing must involve at least one human touching the lunar surface, ie leaving their lander.