Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: minimax (99%)
Resolved: Oct 20, 2026, 7:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
minimax99%
zhipu/z.ai0.2%
xai0.2%
moonshot0.2%
qwen0.2%
openai0%
anthropic0%
other0.2%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketHow will Trump leave office?
Manifold MarketsWho will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.