Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:33 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastChatGPT 47.3%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 30, 26, 12:11 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be polling about AI voting advice in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsHow will AI voting advice rates compare to the Senate tipping point margin in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
PolymarketMore than 17 states ban Ranked Choice Voting before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Alaska Measure 2, to repeal ranked choice voting, be approved in the November 3rd election?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
If it's a separately-branded thing, counts as the main model that powers it.
- If no polling organization asks a relevant question, resolves to [No polling data available].
- If multiple polls are available, resolves to average of all polls in October or November.
