Video-Game AGI by 2028

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Video-Game AGI by 2028?

Manifold Markets prices No at 62.7% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Video-Game AGI by 2028 resolve?

Video-Game AGI by 2028 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.

How is Video-Game AGI by 2028 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: An AI that can play any video game at human level on consumer hardware (and human-levels of sample efficiency in learning new games)

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

I Play Rocky · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 5099.5%
• Above 5598.5%
• Above 4599.5%

+10 more outcomes

Total Vol

$342.7K

24h Vol

$67.3K

KALSHI

Wicker · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 92+2.0pt99.5%
• Above 9099.5%
• Above 8599.5%

POLYMARKET

Next James Bond actor?

• Jack Lowden+2.3pt44.3%
• Callum Turner-0.1pt25.5%
• No Bond chosen-1.5pt11.3%

+22 more outcomes

KALSHI

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• Julia Stiles-3.0pt41.5%
• Tatyana Ali+1.0pt35.5%
• Connor Wood-2.0pt

KALSHI

The Mongoose · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 25+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 599.5%
• Above 1099.5%

KALSHI

The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 4596.5%
• Above 50+1.0pt89.5%
• Above 55-1.0pt81.5%

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