Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTrump mentions renaming the geese 33.6%
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-16.4 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 6:33 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The new name doesn't have to literally be "American Geese".
- Something like "Freedom Geese" would also count.
- Context: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/117179353254305954
- [link preview]
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump renames "Canada Geese" to "American Geese" or similar before October?
- Manifold Markets prices Trump mentions renaming the geese at 34% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Trump renames "Canada Geese" to "American Geese" or similar before October resolve?
- Trump renames "Canada Geese" to "American Geese" or similar before October is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Trump renames "Canada Geese" to "American Geese" or similar before October settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The new name doesn't have to literally be "American Geese".