Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastThe Manifold Logo 100%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
102
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 25, 8:28 PM UTCDec 4, 27, 7:40 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Merch Shop designs will be the best sellers EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
Merch will be purchasable with mana
- Anyone who has their submission added to the store will receive a free merch item with their design!
- Submitting designs
- This can be an image of what would go on the shirt, or an actual mockup.
- The store is hosted by Printful, so be sure to check out their print guidelines before submitting.
- Then, comment the design here and I will add it to the market.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store??
- Manifold Markets prices The Manifold Logo at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store? resolve?
- MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store? is scheduled to resolve on December 4, 2027.
- How is MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Merch will be purchasable with mana