Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027??

Manifold Markets prices 1B - 1.5B at 24.6% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027? resolve?

Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Can be over some multi-year span.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.5pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.6pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$153.2K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+0.5pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.5pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt18.3%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.5pt56.5%
• Gemini-4.4pt30.4%
• ChatGPT+0.1pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• December 31,+5.5pt82%
• November 30,-4.0pt61%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt89.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.8%
• Google-6.0pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.3%

+12 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Best AI this week
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by which date?