Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2029 36%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 16, 23, 3:48 AM UTCOct 23, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a women walk on the moon before there is a women majority leader in the senate
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt87.1%
- OpenAI-1.0pt10.9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.6M
- 24h Vol
- $124.4K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Total Vol
- $178.5K
- 24h Vol
- $45.5K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 26+21.5pt87%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8+3.0pt88%
- Above 9-15.0pt57%
- Above 10-10.0pt23%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In which year will humans next walk on the moon??
- Manifold Markets prices 2029 at 36% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In which year will humans next walk on the moon? resolve?
- In which year will humans next walk on the moon? is scheduled to resolve on October 23, 2050.