Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2025-2029 96.5%+17.9ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
75
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+26.2 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 20, 25, 4:02 AM UTCJan 1, 51, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketUN agency for artificial intelligence created in 2026?
FutuurWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRules
The Millennium Prize Problems are seven illustrious open problems in mathematics designated by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) in year 2000, each carrying a $1 million dollar prize for the first correct solution.
- The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved; only six remain:
- Birch and Swinnerton‑Dyer Conjecture
- Hodge Conjecture
- Navier–Stokes Existence and Smoothness
- Riemann Hypothesis
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem??
- Manifold Markets prices 2025-2029 at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem? resolve?
- In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2051.
- How is In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Millennium Prize Problems are seven illustrious open problems in mathematics designated by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) in year 2000, each carrying a $1 million dollar prize for the first correct solution.