In what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for In what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"??

Manifold Markets prices 2025-2027 at 55.2% as of October 26, 2026.

When does In what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"? resolve?

In what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2051.

How is In what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Steve Wozniak, the co-founder of Apple Inc., proposed "The Coffee Test" as a benchmark for evaluating the capabilities of autonomous robots.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.5pt94%
• December 15,+10.5pt93%
• November 30,+28.0pt89%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.9M

24h Vol

$356.1K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+0.5pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+4.6pt24%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.5pt16.4%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.9pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.9pt30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-7.5pt48%
• 2026-1.5pt13%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$76K

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