Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Something from Eliezer's list of lethalities occurs. 83%Leader of 4 outcomes
Something from Eliezer's list of lethalities occurs. 83%Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 8, 24, 2:29 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Inverse of https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence-539844cd3ba1?r=S3JhbnR6.
- Will not resolve.
- Primarily for users to explore particular lethalities.
- Please add responses.
- "poor" = human extinction or mass human suffering