Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A??

Manifold Markets prices No at 67% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? resolve?

Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2200.

How is Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: @/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.2pt95%
• December 15,+1.0pt93%
• November 30,-2.0pt87%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$6M

24h Vol

$124.8K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-10.5pt50%
• Gemini+12.1pt42%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-5.0pt28.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.8pt23.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.3pt16.2%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+15.0pt49%
• Anthropic-12.0pt44%
• OpenAI-0.3pt5%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.2pt98%
• Anthropic-4.2pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-8.4pt21.6%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.7pt20.6%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+3.4pt20.6%

+5 more outcomes

• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?