How many billionaires will New York City lose in 2026?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateMacro & EconomyUS Politics6moManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastAt least 3 26.9%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 29 days ago
StaleJun 4, 26, 3:28 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
At least 327%
Related Markets
Will the California HSR meet any of its ridership or revenue goals by 2030
$100Yes: 9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
$3Above $1M: 99%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
$21.4KYes: 14%KALSHI
KALSHISlate Auto EV pickup base model launches below $27,500 excluding subsidies?
$468.2Yes: 65%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will Anthropics Public Ticker be?
$402$ANTH: 57.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
$350Above 97.4 million: 19%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRoss impeachment warning hits Polymarket as Starmer exit odds rise to 91.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves identically to this kalshi market.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnycbillionaires/billionaires-lost/kxnycbillionaires-26