KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 1 · —
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Stored price
At least 2 50.5%Market line of 6 lines
At least 2 50.5%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.5
Open interest
$21.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 1Spread
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Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Jul 2, 25, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 1
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?
KalshiWhat will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
PolymarketWill the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.
Manifold MarketsWill New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If New York City has less than 121 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Forbes Media LLC
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1
- If New York City has less than 122 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If New York City has less than 121 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If New York City has less than 120 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8
- If New York City has less than 115 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 23
- If New York City has less than 100 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 13
- If New York City has less than 110 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.